Trump’s Exemplary Gaza
Plan
Jim Kavanagh
Donald Trump has presented the world with a spectacular plan
to help the people of Gaza. He will take control of the strip and move all the
residents of the demolished, unlivable territory to nice safe homes in other
countries.
Now, many people, including myself, correctly denounce this plan as outright, egregious, ethnic cleansing, a crime against humanity. Not to mention unhinged. And so it is.
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) February 6, 2025And what is their plan instead?
Unfortunately, most of the people now denouncing this plan
have been part of that very plan, helping to carry it out all along. What were Israel
and US government under the Biden administration doing by providing all the
bombs and weapons that destroyed Gaza and killed many tens of thousands of
Gazans over the past 15 months? What were the US and western media doing when
they repeated the fake Israeli narrative and supported that killing and
demolition in a myriad of explicit and implicit ways? What were all the U.S.
and European politicians doing who welcomed Netanyahu and other Israeli leaders
and praised the Zionist project that was carrying out that killing and
demolition for the past 15 months? What plan did they think Israel and the U.S.
were executing?
Now here comes Donald Trump, being crudely blatant, forgoing
all the complex "peace process," "two-state" mumbo-jumbo,
under which sanctimonious Western liberals pretend that they don’t know, and
are not supporting, the criminal ethnic-cleansing project that Zionism is in
Gaza. Trump is telling us that the U.S., now speaking in the same voice as
Israel has been using 77 years, is a full-on, leading partner in the Zionist
project of erasing the Palestinian people. It’s an exemplary case of stripping
the supercilious, hypocritical lipstick from the U.S/Zionist pig. His
discourse, in other words, undermines the soft-power face of U.S. imperialism
in favor of identification with the utterly-indifferent-to-“soft power” Zionist
project.
Gaza, Trump says,
is “right now a demolition site,…a hellhole…the people…have been absolutely
destroyed…they are living in hell.” True, as he should know, since every
U.S. government, including his, has participated in making it so—as he
himself admits: “It's just terrible. And that includes on the American
side, by the way. We should have never gone in there a long time ago, spent
trillions of dollars and created so much death. So it includes Americans.”
So, then, why not “give people a chance at life...a beautiful
area with homes and safety and they can live out their lives in peace and
harmony”? Let’s have Jordan and Egypt “open their hearts and…give us the kind
of land that we need to get this done.” Because there is no other way: “they've
tried the other…for decades and decades and decades. It's not going to work. It
didn't work. It will never work. And you have to learn from history…you just
can't let it keep repeating itself.”
Trump is here acknowledging the purpose and unity of
the US-Israel Zionist project. He is saying, in effect: Gaza has been
destroyed and made unlivable, by us along with the Israelis, and the necessary,
as well as most humanitarian, result is to expel the Gazan people, whose
homeland aspirations, we all assume, are irrelevant to all the important people.
We’ll take that project over and finish it for the Israelis.
As I’ve said
for over a year, the Israel plan in Gaza has always been to kill or expel the
Palestinians—preferably “all of them,” as Trump said, but a great majority will
do, for a start. For more than a year. Israel has been saying to the world
quite clearly: “See us. We’re killing them all. We don’t care whether you call
it ‘genocide’ or not. We have impunity from the U.S. If you’re so concerned for
them and want us to stop killing them, and if you’re not going to make us stop, take them
away. Otherwise, bleat your outrage and watch us keep killing them.” The Biden administration quietly helped the
plan, trying
to get Egypt to accept Gazan
“refugees” in exchange for debt relief.
Everybody saw that and knew depopulation was Israel’s
essential plan for Gaza. Western politicians and media pretended they didn’t,
thereby enabling it. Donald Trump has made that pretense impossible anymore. He
has now explicitly embraced that plan as President of the United States, adding
the twist that the U.S. will “take over” the Gaza Strip and take charge of
implementing the plan.
So now various Western politicians and media must express
outrage. A “violation of international law,”
“a straightforward crime against humanity,” cry
Western ethicists. Yup, as was the establishment
of Israel via the Nakba of 1948, the Israeli war of territorial conquest of
1967, the killings and maimings of Great March of Return protestors in 2018,
the repeated previous Israeli demolishment bombing campaigns of Gaza, et. al.
It's easy to denounce Trump’s plan. But what are those outraged Western politicians and media going to do about it that’s different from what they did about the same plan they’ve been accepting for 15 months? What plan do they have that will put an end to the present and future “straightforward crimes against humanity” visited upon the Palestinians of Gaza, and make the Strip decently livable for them?
Is their plan to restore some adjusted version of the status
quo ante October 7, 2023? To spend 10-15
years pouring money and resources into rebuilding” Gaza—80% of the homes, all
the schools, hospitals, and civic institutions (Forget about restoring the
murdered parents and amputated limbs of tens of thousands of children)? Do they
have a plan to do all that and ensure Gaza doesn’t just return to the
blockade conditions of the world’s largest concentration camp, vulnerable to
being demolished again at Israel’s will? Do they have a plan that will make Israel
abandon its plan for depopulating and seizing Gaza? Do they have a plan
for preventing Israel from blocking the reconstruction or from blowing it all
up again? Do they have a plan for
stopping the U.S. from supporting Israel in destroying Gaza at will? Do they have
a plan to do anything besides garner outraged statements by countries or
international institutions or small groups of “progressive” American or
European politicians?
If that’s their plan, they do not understand, or don’t want
to admit they understand, that Trump is right: “It's not going to work. It
didn't work. It will never work. And you have to learn from history…you just
can't let it keep repeating itself”? Does anybody not understand that the
unified force of USrael will not abide it and, in fact, nobody wants it?
Or do they have the only kind of plan that will allow Gaza to be rebuilt for Gazans, the only kind of plan that will end the straightforward crime against humanity being committed and offer Gazans the possibility of a decent life in Gaza—a plan to end the Israeli presence in and control of Gaza, a plan that will have to be effected by force?
Since nobody wants the status quo ante, unless outraged
Western liberals have a plan like this, that will achieve the defeat of the
US/Zionist project in Gaza, they don’t have a better, or more plausible, plan
than Trump’s, which is Israel’s, which is the only plan unfolding. If anyone
thinks otherwise, please share it.
Trump’s plan, that is, is an exemplary moment in the utter
failure of the Western world to imagine, let alone plan, any future for the
Palestinians, or the world, free of submission to Zionism.
Is the only extant “plan” in operation—the always-intended
plan for the depopulation of Gaza—possible, with or without the U.S. “taking it
over”? There is no question that almost every country in the world and,
crucially, all Arab states in the region, will adamantly and vociferously,
oppose it. Regarding Egypt and Jordan, the named intended recipients of Gaza’s
population, Trump says, with his trademark arrogance: “I know …they say they're
not going to accept. I say they will.”
Here, again, Trump’s plan exemplifies his new attitude of
dropping soft-power games and explicitly embracing the imperialism of the bully.
In doing so, he is reminding us, in a way the liberal imperialists hate to have
seen, that behind the soft power of liberal or humanitarian appeals there
always was implicitly the hard fist of the bully. He is reminding the world
who’s the boss and who are the client states. Trump feels confident he can get Egypt
and Jordan to do what he wants because they always do what the U.S.
wants, if the U.S. insists. Trump knows they have for a long time been
economically bought off and/or politically subservient to the core demands of
the U.S. and, therefore, Israel. That’s also the case with most other
Arab states that have somewhat more independence, including Saudi Arabia. At least that has been the case. Arab
regimes have betrayed the Palestinians repeatedly for their own advantage
within the U.S. imperium. It’s also the case that Trump is counting on real but
fading power of that imperium, as we’ll discuss below.
Moving Example
Is his, or any other, expulsion plan possible? Let’s take a
figure of two million Gazans. Can he bribe or threaten or cajole Egypt and
Jordan to take—if not two million, 250,000 between them? Per the NYT:
“the president may have ways of bending them to his will.” That’s a quarter of
the population, gone. Can he not get other Arab states, from Morocco to the
Gulf, to take another 500 thousand? Don’t forget newly captured liberated
Syria! Another 500 thousand to
“humanitarian,” immigrant-friendly, and Zionist European client states? At that
point, the deed is done, no matter what happens to the rest.
Of course, the U.S. does not just need to “persuade”
countries to take in Gazans, it must also get the Gazans to leave. To achieve that,
there is nothing but coercion. But, as Trump says, enormous coercive force is already
being applied. Gaza has been made unlivable. The US now offers a way out
of a situation it has made unlivable, masking the coda of that coercion
as concern. “Stay in the miserable concentration camp we’ve created for you
or leave“ is a coercive command, not a gesture of concern.
Here’s the hackneyed phrase that’s never been more
appropriate: Trump does not think the Gazan people have any agency. He does not think about the Gazan people,
period. Trump sees no building left standing; he does not see that there are
~2,000,000 people standing strong. In his ignorant, narcissistic,
American-exceptionalist world, they are dispensable pawns of no importance, who
can be easily moved around or, at worst, bought off. That’s why he does not
even consider letting them back into Gaza after he turns it into a beautiful, Arab-free
gated community.
Those with any historical consciousness, or with eyes to
see, know that there are no braver or more steadfast people than Gazans, who
will fiercely resist displacement, as Mohammed Fares, a 24-year-old resident of
Gaza City, says:
“I need to stay in my land — my life, my family and my memories are here, I
have something in Gaza I can’t get anywhere else. I’ll stay, even through hell.”
But we must resist triumphalizing the condition of a battered
population. Whatever contempt we have for Trump’s dismissive arrogance, it
would be foolish to deny the new, hellish reality that has been created, that he
recognizes, and that makes it not as impossible as we’d like to think that many
Gazans will take a ticket out. Before
the present slaughter, 32% of
Gazans expressed a desire to emigrate. Now, Gaza is an unlivable hell,
and unless that changes, quickly, for many families with children, a better life,
a minimally decent life, will be hard to reject on principle, as
33-year-old Mukhlis al-Masri of Beit Hanoun admits: “It’s unacceptable to expel
people from their homes. But I never thought I would get to this place, where
everything is a struggle. Do I want to live through a tragedy for another 20 or
30 years? Do I want to continue to live through hell? I can’t.” Per the NYT:
“If he were able to move outside Gaza, Mr. al-Masri said, he would.”
If ten thousand or so Gazans leave, the snowball will be
rolling. Who will then stop more families leaving? Any attempt by Hamas or
other resistance groups to prevent people from leaving would be a political
disaster.
Kid ourselves not: Given the desperate conditions of life in
Gaza, it would be a mistake to think a coercive, “concerned” emigration plan is
impossible. They’ve done it before, and Nakba 2 is well underway.
But it’s also a very big mistake for Trump to ignore, as he
does, the “agency” of a re-armed and enlarged (15,000
new fighters!) Hamas and its allied resistance fighters. They’re going to
be a little harder to coerce, even with concern. Trump seems to think he can
have a plan for moving almost two million people without a plan for defeating
the tens of thousands of resistance fighters who are going to resist him, and whom
the US and Israel have not been able to defeat over the last 15 months. If the
U.S. now “owns” Gaza, doesn’t that mean the U.S. army will have to go there and
fight them? Or does he think they’ll slink
away in the face of his swelled chest? Or maybe that he can buy them off? This
is where Trump’s twist takes a turn to incomprehensible cluelessness. Does he
not see this is the surest way to destroy whatever political movement he has built
in the U.S. and elsewhere?
Trump’s Gaza plan is an exemplary case of his bully
imperialism, which he is enacting everywhere—certainly in Latin America and even
in Europe—and it will run into serious problems. Trump is doing more to
undermine U.S. hegemony in the world than anybody on the left has done in the
last twenty years. He either really doesn't understand the value of soft power,
or he’s convinced the U.S. is losing so much soft and hard power so fast that
he has to move aggressively to re-establish dominance. I don’t think he realizes the U.S. has already
lost too much power relative to new economic and military kids on the block, to
whom even the smaller kids can turn for help, for the U.S. to play the bully
anymore. Like every bully, he will only
learn when he gets slapped down, which will happen the more he threatens, even
if the other players know that may make him more immediately dangerous.
Of course, in the case of Gaza and Palestine, the US-Israel
bully pair has gone beyond bluff and is threatening to build on the enormous
damage it has already wrought. Who is going to slap down those conjoined bullies,
each of which can and will destroy you even as they’re falling to the ground? They
may commit political suicide, but they can bring Gaza down with them. Hamas and
allied groups can put up a helluva fight in Gaza, but can they stop the
slaughter or the depopulation? Will any other military/political actor step in
to help them? In time for the people of
Gaza to have a decent life in their homeland? In time to stop the explicitly
threatened Gazafication of the West Bank and Lebanon? There are countries and
groups of countries that could, but they would have to take an
existential risk for the Palestinians. That no one has done that through
the vicious straightforward crime against humanity that we’ve been watching for
over a year makes me doubt that anyone will now.
Irony is dead
Ironically, I think Netanyahu must be uneasy about Trump’s too-blatant
embrace of the ethnic-cleansing plan. First, it brings too much attention to
the plan too soon. What was being prepared largely behind the scenes, on Israel’s
schedule, with governments and media able to ignore it, has now been embraced
and announced in the most blatant ethno-supremacist terms by the President of
the United States. Every government and media outlet must take a position on it—a
negative position—and ask a hundred questions about it. Even Republican
politicians are scrambling to try to walk it back. This is not the kind of
attention that will make fulfilling the plan easier.
Second,
the U.S. is going to “own” Gaza? Gaza
will be “turned over to the United States” so Trump can turn it into the “The
Riviera of the Middle East”? Trump is clearly more interested in a real-estate
grift than the Zionist fundamentals of the “Greater Israel” master plan. Sure,
they can be mutually reinforcing, but it doesn’t sound like Netanyahu’s daddy’s
settler enterprise. It sounds more like a ball of Zio-realtor confusion that’s
going to be played out on the world social-media stage.
There
are a lot of questions to work out—starting with: Who controls this territory
over the 10-15-year “rebuilding” period? As President of the U.S., is Donald
really going to build his Mar-a-Largo on the Mediterranean as an exclusionary
Jewish-supremacist colony to be turned over to Israel, which is the whole point
for Israel?
Third,
and most unsettling [pun accepted] for Netanyahu, is that Trump’s announced
plan will likely catalyze a renewed, urgent push for the two-state solution, as
well as for maintaining the ceasefire.
Everyone’s afraid of the virtually certain end of the
ceasefire after the first phase, and the resumption of Israel’s mass slaughter
in Gaza under the continuing pretext of having to “eliminate” Hamas, which has
demonstrated its persistent strength and control. In the confused and
impossible logic of this situation, it is possible that Trump, in his
narcissistic delusion, may want to pressure the Israelis to keep to the
ceasefire deal, while he pursues his/their depopulation cum real estate
development plan without a background of ongoing carnage. (Or without having to
fight Hamas? I said “delusion.”)
At the same time, it is virtually certain that the Arab and
European states, who want to avoid having their reputations ruined or their
polities rent by political upheaval, will press for continuing the
ceasefire and will definitely rally international powers to press for the
two-state solution immediately, as the only way to avoid both the resumption of
the Israeli carnage and the advancement of Trump’s ethnic cleansing plan. Saudi
Arabia’s statement, within minutes of Trump’s announcement, rejecting its entire
premise and emphasizing that without a Palestinian state—which is “not the
subject of negotiation or concessions”—they are out of the “normalization” game,
which is so crucial to Israel, exemplifies the problem Trump has created.
The Israelis will only relent to any Trump pressure to maintain
the ceasefire if they are convinced he is working with and for them on
achieving the expulsion agenda, and only as long as they are convinced he is
succeeding. They will ignore or sabotage any effort the Arab, European, or
other countries make to advance the two-state solution.
The two-state solution is anathema to the Israelis, who will do anything to prevent it. Trump doesn’t give, and probably doesn’t understand, a whit about it:
Does that mean that you do not support the two-state solution?
Donald Trump: It doesn't mean anything about a two-state or a one-state or any other state
If Trump’s plan provokes a renewed push for the two-state
solution, Netanyahu will rue the day Trump opened his mouth.
Beyond Sherlock
Because of the fundamental, contradictory demands of the
Zionist colonial project and the Palestinian national liberation project, none
of which Donald Trump cares about or understands, neither achieving the two-state
solution nor avoiding the depopulation of Gaza will be possible unless there is
a military defeat and withdrawal of Israel. That would come as a result
of the fierce resistance of Hamas and allied forces (local and international),
backed by the solid support of the Gazan people, in combination with the
overextension and exhaustion of the Israeli military and citizenry. The
craziest, and most necessary, plan of all.
Trump’s plan is exemplary. It’s a fine example of the
hypocrisy of the Western liberal countries and pundits complaining about it, of
the erasure of Palestinian lives and concerns, of Zionism’s historical plans
for the Palestinian Arabs, of the assumed, unified US/Israeli Zionist project, of
the hidden tensions within that project, of Trump’s revanchist American bully
imperialism and the longstanding dominance over client states that underlies it,
of the confusion, ignorance, and narcissism of Trump himself, and of the
impossibility of all plans put forward under the assumption that USrael
controls everything.
End of day, any plan that doesn’t end with Israel defeated
and driven out of Gaza will end up with the continued crushing subjugation of
the Gazan people, whether in the Strip or in a diaspora, and will be no better
or less ridiculous than Donald Trump’s.
I have no idea how
Gaza or the West Bank or the Zionist project is going to end up. We’re beyond
Sherlock—every possibility seems impossible, including the possibility that the
carnage will go on forever, or as long as it has. I do fear that, if not
Trump’s, some Gaza emigration/expulsion plan is the most exemplary of Zionist
history, and may turn out to be the least impossible of the impossible outcomes
we can foresee.
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